Terrorism

Bayesian Inference & Predicting Attacks


Given the START database of terror attacks from 1970 to 2015, I compared the difference between suicide attacks occuring before 9/11, and then afterwards. Using Bayesian Inference, I calculated whether the difference had statistical significance.

Additionally, because the database is missing most of the data from 1993, I imputed the number of attacks and by type for that year.

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